Soccer Games To Bet On Today
For many sports fans in North America, the four major professional leagues tend to dominate not only the media networks but also the way we think about betting on sports. The NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL are all very accessible because they take place right in our backyard, and each one of those leagues is a multi billion-dollar operation. However, the truth of the matter is this: not of them even come close to the one sport that is considered the richest and most popular sport worldwide – soccer.
Sure Bets Today, the expert in Football Betting Tips and predictions Our predictions cover all the major sporting leagues and tournaments that take place. This includes the English Premier League.
The 'Beautiful Game', as it's known, boasts over 4 billion fans worldwide, with the majority of them calling Europe home. Not only does soccer have several 'professional' leagues/divisions in every major country, but it also hosts the most iconic sporting event in the world – The World Cup. The 2014 World Cup tournament saw more than 3.9-billion people tune in at some point, while the finals itself had more than 700-million people watching from around the globe. Compared to last year's Super Bowl, which saw an average audience of 111.3 million people, it's safe to say that the World Cup's place among the greatest sporting event on planet earth is safely intact.
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However, in North America soccer gets a bad reputation. If I had a dollar for every time I heard someone say 'soccer is boring' or 'they run around for 90 minutes and nobody scores' or 'they are all a bunch of diving idiots' or 'how can they not score on a net that big', I would be sipping fancy drinks out of coconuts on some beach in the middle of paradise.
Soccer is a complex sport to play. There are 11 players on each team (including the goalie) fighting over the ball in order to score a goal and capture three points. The intricacies of soccer are so subtle that it can only be seen by someone who understands the sport and knows what to look for.
The same can be said when it comes to betting on soccer. It may seem easy enough – bet on the team who's going to win – but it's far from. Because soccer's format is unique – you play every team once – (38 games in the English Premier League season) and the team with the most points is declared Champion, each game may seem like it's worth the same amount of points -three for a win, one for a tie, none for a loss, but it's not always quite like that (hypothetically speaking).
Soccer odds and betting options can be broken down into to generic categories; Basic and Advanced. The basic betting options are easy to understand concepts like money line, goal line or totals.
If you are looking for the break down of the more advanced soccer wagering options, jump to our Advanced Soccer Betting Options. Or you can jump to our Tournament Futures/Props section for all your World Cup/Champions League explanations
Basic Soccer Wagering
Betting on the Three-Way Money Line
This is essentially the bread and butter of betting on soccer. The three-way money line bet is a wagering option which allows you to bet on which team is going to win the game – with the added inclusion of the 'tie' option to make it more difficult.
For example, if Manchester United were playing Manchester City in an English Premier League regular season matchup, your options would look as follows:
Manchester United: Win +270
Manchester City: Win +260
Draw: +200
For every single soccer game played, the three-way money line option is final after 90 minutes of play (including injury time – which is time added on to the end of the match for unnatural stoppages or injuries).
In some instances, such as a World Cup elimination game where a winner is required to advance to the next round, the three-way money line option still does not allow its final decision to go beyond 90 minutes.
For example, if France is playing Italy in the World Cup semi final, you may still choose the 'draw' option despite the fact that the game will go to overtime and then possibly penalty kicks to determine a winner.
France: Win +110
Italy: Win +220
Draw: +150
Betting on the Two-Way Money Line
This betting option is very similar to the option above with the exception of one thing. The two-way money line bet eliminates the 'draw'. This is also known as a 'Draw, No Bet' option.
With this option, there are two possible outcomes to wager on:
France: Win -230
Italy: Win +140
As you can see, the odds on the favorite get inflated, while the odds on the underdog are deflated to reflect the double chance you have of not losing your bet. Should you bet on France to win at -230, you would win your wager if they won inside of regulation time (90 minutes). If the game ends in a 'draw' you would simply get your money back. Same rules apply for wagers on Italy.
Betting on the Goal Lines (Also known as 'Asian Handicap')
Betting on the Goal Lines in soccer is the equivalent of betting on the point spread in the NFL or NBA. Goal lines in soccer generally start at -0.5, and can get upwards of -4.5 or -5 when we are talking about a massive mismatch. Take a game like Germany versus San Marino in a World Cup qualifier for example. The Germans would be heavily favored on the money line (upwards of -6600) to win the game outright. No value there. Instead, you could look to the 'goal line' option and get them at -4.5 goals for around -125.
The example would look like this:
Germany -4.5 (-125)
San Marino +4.5 (+105)
Should you decide to forgo laying the -6600 and take Germany -4.5, you would need Germany to win by at least five goals in order to cash your ticket. On the off chance the miraculous happens and San Marino wins the game, draws, or loses by four or less goals, your Germany -4.5 ticket would be a loser.
For much tighter games, say Arsenal vs. Liverpool, the goal line could be as follows:
Arsenal -0.5 -110
Liverpool +0.5 -110
Should you take Arsenal to cover the -0.5-goal line, you are trusting that Arsenal will win the game outright. Whether that be 1-0 or 8-2 it doesn't matter. If you take Liverpool +0.5, you have two ways of winning. The first being Liverpool winning the game outright. The second being a draw. If the game ends 1-1, 2-2 or 10-10, any Liverpool +0.5 ticket will be graded as a winner.
Betting Totals
When it comes to betting totals, soccer is a weird sport. In a sport that is littered with 0-0 games, the opening total is typically 2.5 goals, which means you will need three goals in order to cash your bet on the 'over'.
It's not uncommon to see a total of 2, which means should there be exactly two goals scored, your bet will be graded as a push. In some cases, sportsbooks offer up alternative goal lines that look like this:
Manchester United/Manchester City: Total Goals 2.25 (or 2.75).
In this instance, if you bet on the Over 2.25 goals, half your bet is placed on 'Over 2' and the other half of the bet is placed on 'Over 2.5'. If the game finishes with exactly two goals scored, you would lose half your bet (Over 2.5) and be refunded the other half ('over' 2). If the game finishes with three goals, you win both bets (Over 2 and Over 2.5).
The other example is the 2.75 goal line. If you bet the 'under', half your bet is placed on the 'under' 2.5 goals and the other half is bet on the 'under' three goals. If the game lands on three, you'd lose half your bet ('under' 2.5) and refunded the other half ('under' three).
Advanced Soccer Wagering Options
Much like the four major North American sports, soccer lends itself to being a sport with ample betting options. You can bet on things such as the number of corner kicks taken by one or both teams in the match, the number of cards a referee will show, the number of goals a team will score, which team will score first, the exact score of the game, will a team get a shutout, the highest-scoring half, and everything in between.
The one option I tend to gravitate to is the Anytime Goal Scorer. This option allows you to place a wager on any player you think will get their name on the scoresheet in that particular game. Typically, strikers and attacking players are among the favorites to bag a goal, but if you are feeling lucky, picking a defender who has a good aerial presence from corner kicks/free kicks can be a very lucrative proposition.
Let's break down each wagering option for you so you are well prepared when you go to make your bets.
Number of Corner Kicks Taken
This bet allows you to predict the amount of corner kicks taken in the 90 minutes of regulation time. This bet does not include extra-time and it is typically broken down by each team or by both teams as a whole. It is also always listed as a half-number in order for there to be a winning and losing side.
Example:
Total Corners Taken: 'Over' 10.5 -110, 'Under' 10.5 -110
Total Corners Taken by Chelsea: 'Over' 6.5 -110, 'Under' 6.5 -110
Total Corners Taken by Southampton: 'Over' 4.5 -110, 'Under' 4.5 -110
Number of Cards Shown by Referee
This is another advanced betting option that is self explanatory. You can wager on how many times the referee will brandish a yellow or red card. Each card shown counts as one, and the line is always listed as a half-number.
Example:
Total Cards Shown: 'Over' 3.5 -110, 'Under' 3.5 -110
Some books also allow you to wager on if a player will be sent off via a red card. This option is really tough to hit, but it always offers odds no worse than +250.
Number of Goals Team X Will Score
Soccer is a game where goals are considered mini-miracles when they actually occur. So bookmakers have taken it upon themselves to give you the chance to try and predict how many goals a team will score. Lines can range anywhere from 0.5 to 3.5 depending on the matchup.
You have your standard option that looks like this:
Liverpool Total Goals 'Over' 2.5 -110, 'Under' 2.5 -110
Or you have the harder version that looks like this:
Liverpool Exact Goals:
0 +500,
1 +300,
2 +225,
3 +110,
4 +330
In order for your bet to be graded as a winner, Liverpool must score the exact number of goals you select.
First Team to Score
This is self explanatory. You are wagering on the team you believe is going to score first. The one caveat is this is a three-way line with the 'No Goal' option included just to make it more difficult.
Example: Tottenham -120, West Ham United +300, No Goal +650.
Correct Score
This is another option that is self explanatory yet extremely difficult to predict. As a bettor, you must correctly predict the exact outcome of the game.
Example:
Draws: 0-0 (+1100), 1-1 (+575), 2-2 (+1300) etc.
Chelsea Win: 1-0 (+475), 2-0 (+225), 2-1 (+1100), 3-2 (+5000) etc.
Burnley Win: 1-0 (+1100), 2-0 (+10000) etc.
To Keep a Clean Sheet
This betting option allows you to wager on the team you believe will keep a clean sheet. For this unfamiliar with the term 'clean sheet' it means allow zero goals – a shutout essentially.
Example: Manchester City to Keep a Clean Sheet: Yes -160, No +110
The Highest Scoring Half
This is exactly how it sounds. Which half will see the most amount of goals scored in. It is broken down into three categories to make it a little trickier for bettors.
Example: 1st Half +110, 2nd Half +150, Tie +200.
Scorecast/Timecast
These are the wagering options you should play if you are feeling extremely lucky.
For starters, the Scorecast is an option in which you must select a player you believe will score the first goal of the game and also predict the final score of the game.
For example: Wayne Rooney to score first and Everton to win 2-0 +2500
The 'Timecast' option drops the need for the final score prediction. Instead it takes into account the actual time Wayne Rooney needs to score.
That bet would look something like: Wayne Rooney to score first between minutes 1-20 +3000
Tournament Style Futures/Props
For this part of the article, I will be focusing on the upcoming 2018 World Cup from Russia. Wagering on the world's greatest tournament can be profitable if you know where to look for value.
To kick things off, let's take a look at Futures bets for the World Cup.
Futures Bets
A futures bet is a wager placed in the time leading up to the start of the event on a team or player that you believe is going to win their respective competition. Heading into Russia 2018, the futures odds on the major contending teams are as follows:
Outright Winner: Germany +450, Brazil +500, France +550, Spain +700, Argentina +800, Belgium +1000, England +1600 and Portugal +2500
In order for you to successfully cash your ticket, you must correctly choose the team that will hoist the trophy after the final game of the tournament.
Group Wagering
The World Cup format features eight groups of four teams. Every team plays each other once, and the top two teams that accumulate the most points advance to the round of 16. Group wagering allows you to predict which team you believe will 'win' the group (finish first).
Example: Group F Winner: Germany -325, Mexico +550, Sweden +650, South Korea +1600.
Top Goalscorer
There is an abundance of talent heading to Russia 2018 this year, and this might be one of tightest goal scoring races in World Cup history.
This option is self explanatory. You are simply selecting one player from any team who you think will score the most goals from the very first game through to the finals. The winner also doesn't need to play the most games. If he scores five or six goals (somehow) in the group stage and his team gets eliminated in the quarterfinals, he is still eligible to be crowned Top Scorer.
Example:
Most Goals: Neymar (+200), Mueller (+230), Ronaldo (+250), Messi (+260), Kane (+300) etc.
Typically, you want your chosen player to play on a team that will go deep into the tournament – when it's all said in done the winner will have played in seven games.
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Whether you call it football or soccer, we can all agree that it’s one of the biggest betting sports in the world. The opportunities and options to make some serious cash are endless, with so many different games and leagues to choose from.
As the popularity of football betting grows, so does the number of betting sites eager to take your action. While lots of choices are always great, too many of them can make it hard to decide on the best place to place a bet. Sites are constantly throwing lucrative promotions and bonus programs, making it even harder to find the best spot for your football betting action.
As is our solemn duty, we decided to take things into our own hands and wade through all the different football betting sites and find the absolute best ones.
Why Do We Offer Football / Soccer Betting Tips?
By far, the most important aspect of our site is the fact that it is 100% free. This is a far contrast from other prediction sites where you are obliged to subscribe to get a slice of the cake.
In the end, what would be the point of us working on our passion if we don’t share it with others? Since we’ve seen for ourselves that our method works, we would like to help others achieve the same results as us.
Each prediction we publish will remain free — it was always the case and will continue to be so.
How to Make the Best Possible Sports Football Predictions?
To come up with a prediction that has a good chance of winning (like arguably the greatest manager of all time and in British History, Sir Alex Ferguson), you must consider several factors before pulling the trigger. We’ve listed essential variables that our experts rely upon when writing their forecasts:
- Analyzing the form of the players/teams
The most crucial aspect to take into account when betting on football is the current form of the participating teams. It doesn’t matter if it’s the English Premier League or Japanese League 2, it’s always necessary to keep tabs on the latest performances — at least for a couple of weeks preceding the match.This allows you to easily and quickly understand the variables involved in the fixture of your choice, and thus have an idea about the designated event’s favourite.
- Taking account of the proposed venue of the match
The second thing to take into account when betting on football is the venue in which your chosen game will be held. This is particularly important because the fans and conditions of the pitch will often play a significant role in the outcome of the match.
Also, in football, the home or hosting team is considered to have a considerable advantage over the visitors. In some cases, the home team will probably win regardless of who they’re playing against.
- Checking out their previous meetings
The third parameter to consider is the result of the most recent confrontation between the two teams. As you are probably aware, the psychological aspect plays a vital role in the outcome. That said, it’s often helpful to view the results of their previous matches.
This can give you an idea of which side is going to have a psychological advantage. For example, a club that lost 0–3 last time the two teams met will have a higher chance of losing the upcoming match than the team that won. The same logic can be applied across all leagues.
- Timing of the match is important
In football, the fixtures calendar is essential, especially for top-tier teams since they take place in various competitions. For example, a team that has suffered a defeat in recent European match might not be in the best shape when returning to their domestic league.
Also, some coaches might rest their top players a couple of days prior to the important competition. Timing is critical for your predictions, and knowing what bet to make isn’t enough — you must also know when to make it.
- Checking out the news of a team
If a specific team has a lengthy injury list or disharmony in the camp, it may be wise to avoid them. Bookmakers usually consider the injury factor when creating the odds, but that’s not always the case. Finding out this piece of information can give you the edge you need. If you notice that the odds on some team are higher than they should be, that means that it’s missing some valuable piece. A player might skip the match either due to an injury or for personal reasons. Whatever the case, it’s something definitely worth investigating.
- Estimating an acceptable odds value for your bet
You should always make a connection between your prediction and the odds offered by online bookies. If you’re sure that team A is going to beat team B, but the proposed odds for that outcome are weak, you may want to reconsider taking that bet. You don’t want to risk your money for tiny potential gains. Although your prediction might be reliable, it may not be necessarily the smartest bet to place.
Avoid This Mistake If You Want to Win at Soccer Betting
People often tend to delve into the world of betting without understanding basic probability, statistics, and odds. Just how many times have you said to yourself “I have the right information, it’s time to place bets”, only to find out later that your bet wasn’t exactly a good one.
If this would be so easy, then sports analysts would be the best bettors in the world. But in reality, they have very little knowledge about sports betting, which is why their picks aren’t good. Maybe they would be good if they were looking at it from a sports-fan perspective. But when we include the probabilities, the value in odds, and advantage over the bookmakers, they don’t stand a chance.
Sports betting is a market and, if you want to make a winning, you have to beat someone. It’s not sufficient to find which team has a better chance of winning. It’s a game of prices and odds, not a game of winners and losers.
One of the most important things that most bettors fail to understand are the odds, finding value, and, of course, realistic expectations. Odds are nothing else but probabilities turned into numbers. Those odds basically represent prices that we pay when we bet.
In order to win, you must somehow figure out what is the lucrative price and what is the bad one. We can be lucky in ten games but, in the long run, we must find a way to estimate those numbers.
Finding the winner is quite easy. In most cases, a team that is a prohibitive odds-on favourite is going to win the match. Finding out which team has the better chance to win the game is not that hard. But what are those chances? Are they 60% or 65%? Maybe 60% is a solid bet and can make you a profit in the long run, while 65% assumption is wrong and will make you lose money in the long term.
Only a genius can estimate those numbers in their head by reading the news. It must be some formula or some statistical method that will continuously give you clear pictures of games. And only then can you combine this statistical evidence with other information to make final bets. Whatever the case may be, statistics are the heart of any sports betting.
All online betting sites use statistics. Do you think that they just read news and come up with odds based on their current hunches? No. Every successful business use statistics, and bookmakers are not an exception to this rule.
Key Lessons to Follow If You Want to Make a Profit
- Most bettors place too many bets and, even worse, they bet on teams they don’t know. They think that the more bets they make, the more likely it is for them to win money. But it’s quite the opposite. You must choose your battles wisely — stick to the teams/leagues you are familiar with, and avoid random bets.
- If you’re on a roll, it’s easy to get ahead of yourselves. You want to increase the bets, and place more bets. Stick to your game plan, for better or for worse.
- If you’re on a losing streak, take a break. Once you find your rhythm again, start with smaller stakes.
- Find a bookmaker that offers decent margins on the leagues you’re betting on. It’s almost impossible to make some cash if the bookmaker takes more than a 6% margin. This means that you have to be very good and they have to make a lot of mistakes, which usually doesn’t happen. In the major leagues, you shouldn’t accept more than a 4% margin.
- If you’re on a hot streak and have won a couple of tickets, be smart and cash out your profit. Do something nice with it.